A woman waving a box bearing a picture of the founder of the PKK (PKK) Abdullah Oaklan, while people gather in Qamishli Cardia on February 27. Olaklan called for the epicinous forces to put him in his position on his position in his position in his position in his arms.
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The gunmen from the Kurdish ethnic group who fought a rebellion against the Turkish authorities for more than four decades announced the ceasefire, while it may represent a major political penetration of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
This announcement came just two days after the leader of the hard -line Kurdistan Workers’ Party group, Abdullah Oaklan, who has held Türkiye in prison since 1999, called on his fighters to disarm.
The Kurdistan Workers Party, known as the Kurdistan Labor Party, launched its war against the Turkish state in the early eighties, due to the poor treatment of the Kurdish minority in Türkiye. The conflict in thousands of deaths caused more than 40 years that followed.
The group has only carried out smaller attacks inside Türkiye in recent years, and has witnessed the Turkish army using armed drones to drive many of its cadres across the mountainous border to neighboring Iraq.
The move comes after 18 months of seismic change in the region, after October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks on Israel and the response in Gaza; The conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon and the prolonged President of the Syrian President, Bashar al -Assad, by the rebels who are building a new government in Damascus.
The latest peace efforts that included Ankara and the PKK, whose governments in Türkiye and many European allies have identified a terrorist organization, in recent months by President Erdogan’s political partners.
Erdogan may need a Kurdish support for running again
Some analysts said that the general suggestions made by Erdogan’s political allies that Ocalan, the leader of the 75 -year -old Kurdish Workers Party, can be released in exchange for abandoning violence, which is part of an effort to attract Kurdish voters. Kurdish support may be necessary to change the limits of the constitutional period that Erdogan concludes from running for his re -election in 2028.
But the largest legal political party supporting men in Türkiye has faced increasing pressure in the past few months, as it has replaced the mayors to the party with the appointment of the two friends of Erdogan.
The announcement of the ceasefire is the first concrete steps towards peace because the PKK and the Turkish government abandoned the last group of disarmament negotiations a decade ago, but some analysts are still skeptical of its long -term durability.
“I will be shocked if anything comes out of this, but this may take years to see his way,” says Bill Park, a visitor’s visitor colleague at Kings College in London.
Park says that the Kurdistan Workers Party’s allies in Syria may not agree on this decision, and this may hold this announcement. “I am very skeptical – I do not see any democracy in Türkiye, any change in the heart. Local Kurdish governments – activists in prison, and journalists have been closed in prison,” he says.
He says that there are sections within the PKK, but many members may feel that they must keep up with what Ocalman says because of his position as a prisoner of a prisoner for a long time.
Nevertheless, Erdogan said last week the Kurdistan Workers’ Party’s invitation to put their arms represented a “new stage” in peace attempts to the people of Turkey.
“There is an opportunity to take a historical step towards demolishing the terrorist wall that stood between [Turkish and Kurdish peoples’] Erdogan said on Friday:
Dramatic changes in Syria also play a role
But the political scene and the changing security in neighboring Syria may also be a key to the group’s decision, according to Caroline Rose, an older colleague at the News Institute, a research center focusing on foreign policy based in Washington, DC.
“The events over the past three months, especially the security reform between the SDF and the new Syrian army, is one of the main reasons that make us seen the PKK puts its arms and announces a ceasefire with Turkey,” says Rose.
Kurdish leads her Syrian democratic powers – which was historically sympathetic to the PKK, although it denies strong ties – may be combined soon into the new military forces in Syria.
Meanwhile, the new Syrian leaders are studying a role for the Turkish military forces in efforts to clarify ISIS within the borders of their country, says Rose. But given Erdogan’s lack of confidence in many in northeastern Syria, she admitted that this step “will, of course, make many Kurdish components uncomfortable.”
Carrades historically from parts of Türkiye, the modern era, Iraq, Syria and Iran.