Why Trump is vowing new tariffs if Mexico doesn’t deliver treaty water

Water on water brewed on the borders of the United States of Mexican.

This week, President Trump threatening Mexico with a new tariff for its failure to provide billions of gallons of water under the 1944 treaty that rules three rivers that pass through the two countries.

“Mexico was stealing water from Texas farmers,” Trump wrote about the social truth, and warned that “we will continue to escalate the consequences, including customs tariffs, and perhaps even sanctions, until Mexico honors the treaty, and we give Texas the water they owe!”

Mexican President Claudia Shinbum says that her country did not rise to the treaties of the treaty due to the uncompromising drought, which was afflicted with farmers and livestock breeders in northern Mexico and left a major industrial city with dry taps.

The livestock farm stands next to the livestock that died from hunger in Sonora, Mexico.

(Gary Coronado/Los Angeles Times)

On Friday, Shinbom has pledged that Mexico would soon provide a “large amount” of what she owes, and said that her government was meeting with US officials in these months.

She admitted the challenges of honoring an agreement signed eight decades ago, long before the congestion of development along the border, and scientists discovered that climate change increases drought.

“If there is no water, how do you deliver it?” I asked.

The water battle adds another dimension to the tense United States relations.

Trump has already imposed a tariff on Mexico – he says, about the country’s failure to combat illegal immigration and the production and smuggling of fentanel.

“There is only a lot of Mexico that you can do,” said Stephen Momi, a professor of political science at Colorado State University, an expert in the treaty.

“I do not know that commercial threats or punitive measures will really improve the situation,” said Momi. “A lot of this is determined only. They cannot make water.”

At the heart of the conflict, there is a treaty that requires the two countries to divide the three rivers of Rio Grande, Colorado and Tiguana-through its joint borders with an area of ​​2000 miles.

Under the treaty, the United States must supply Mexico with water from Colorado, which flows from the Rocky Mountains to Baja California.

Mexican President Claudia Shinbum publishes while speaking on the microphone

Mexican President Claudia Shinbom presented its morning press conference at the National Palace in Mexico City on April 2.

(Marco Augart / Associated Press)

In turn, Mexico should give American water from Rio Grande. The river – which extends from Colorado to the coast of Texas – is the vast majority of the boundaries that divide Texas and Mexico. It is mostly fed by tributaries on the Mexican side, so Mexico can control the amount of water that contributes to the river.

Mexico is supposed to provide 1.75 million acres of water-more than 570 billion gallons-to the United States every five years.

The current session ends in October, but Mexico has so far provided less than 30 % of what it owes, according to the Border and International Water Committee.

According to the treaty, Mexico is allowed to carry water debts to the next five session. I have forced Mexico to do this in the past – first The deadline In 1997 – and always paid her debts.

But the delay raises the anger of farmers, who say that without the delivery of regular water, they lose their way of life. Last year, the last sugar mill was closed in Texas, and all of its 250 employees were launched, because farmers no longer have enough water to grow sugar cane.

The United States Sens. Ted Cruz and John Cornyn, both Republicans in Texas, last year prompted the White House to “use every diplomatic tool at its disposal” to make Mexico compatible with the treaty.

Cochlla channel is a 122 -mile channel that transmits the water of the Colorado River for irrigation

Coachella channel is a 122 -mile channel that transmits the water of the Colorado River, northwest of the American channel, to the Kochilla Valley in Riferside County.

(Brian Van der Bruges/Los Angeles Times)

Brian Jones, a South Texas farmer who cultivated cotton, corn and soybeans, celebrated Trump’s promise to punish Mexico if it delays water delivery operations. Jones said that for three years, he was able to grow only half of his usual crop.

“I have no drop of water than I did yesterday,” he said. “But now I have the President of the United States, he says he will fight for me.”

Since he took office in January, Trump has been attached to the possibility of definitions of Mexican imports to win cooperation in issues including migration and security.

On March 4, a 25 % tariff imposed on all goods imported from Mexico. Two days later, most of them stopped, although the new customs tariffs on cars that have been in effect on April 3.

The Mexican economy has achieved great success, as uncertainty was frightening new investors.

Because Mexico depends extensively on sending exports to the United States, Shinbaum has greatly sought to appease Trump. Although it struck a reconciliation tone in the water case on Friday, as it calmly described his introductory threat as “President Trump’s method of communication”, it is also subjected to great local pressure on the case.

In 2020, Chihuwa’s woman was killed during clashes between the National Guard forces and Mexican farmers, who prevented the dams by force that was used to send flows from Rio Grande to the United States

Instead, former Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador decided to give Texas water from a different source: an international dam on the border.

But this had its own unexpected consequences.

In 2022, TAPS was dry in parts of the sprawling industrial cities in Monerrey, with many of the 5 million population of the area of ​​the regular running for several months.

Left: Plastic water jugs are empty. Right: Two people transport the elements in the shopping cart

The authorities blamed the drought that completely dried the dams and a date of the management of weak water. In 2022, the residents in Monterrey, Mexico, had only water from their taps for a few hours every day.

(Gary Coronado/Los Angeles Times)

To expel the toilet, wash clothes, wash dishes or shower, residents were forces to transport water by hand from wells.

Besides dehydration, the demand for water has increased in recent years, partly due to the explosion of manufacturing centers such as Ciudad Juarez, which is against El Paso and Monterrey.

Momi said he could not imagine a scenario in which Mexico managed to fulfill all its water obligations by October.

He said: “To try to extract more water from a system that does not contain it is just a fool.”

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By BBC

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