Now that we’re on the other side of Labor Day and summer is winding down, this is — as tradition says — when the focus on political campaigning really starts to heat up. The off-year election in November will get some attention, but the main attraction remains the 2024 Republican primary.
In this installment of the Fivethirtyeight Politics podcast, we ask a question we’ll no doubt return to in the four months until the Iowa caucuses: Is Donald Trump’s nomination inevitable? And if not inevitability, how do we put the possibility of him winning the Republican primary in historical context?
We also have partial results from special primaries and discuss the “good or bad uses of polling” for a classic and controversial topic: internal polls.
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