Survey says It is a weekly column that connects three of the most important polling trends or data points that you need to know. You will also find data updates on previous KOS reports, as well as Vepe’s examination of a direction that leads a policy.
Progressive progressive – and great money
A new poll for American youth indicates a problem with the democratic establishment.
Among the Americans between the ages of 18 and 29, the Classification of Democrats in Congress has decreased 19 percentages since the spring of 2017 – from 42 % to only 23 % this spring – to the Epsos survey of the Harvard Kennedy Policy Institute. Meanwhile, Congress Republicans maintain 28 % approval in 2017 and 29 % now.
So what do voters, young and old, want, instead? The donation collection offers a hint.
As a democracy Deputy Alexandria OCASIO-Cortez from New York And other progressive A new direction defenderA new wave of rebel candidates Hunting in dangerous fundsThis indicates that many in the democratic base are waiting for bold leadership.
According to the data from the Federal Electoral Committee, three of the progressive people who seek to the current Democrats have gathered more Other “other receipts” In the FEC data, put any recovered amounts that the campaigns may be issued.
Two of the current three competitors in their area were surrounded by: Cat Abu Ghazilier, who was running in the ninth Illinois, at $ 378,596, followed by Elia Manly, in 20th in Florida, with $ 27,3389. The third is Saikat Chakrabarti ($ 71,239, on the eleventh of California), who was previously the Chief of Staff of Okasio Cortez who is behind the collection of donations that was challenging the job occupant: Nancy Pelosi, former Speaker of Parliament.
All three competitors They present themselves As unanimous fighters.
Manley, 26-year-old alternative teacher and progressive activist, lifted 18 times from the current MP Sheila Shervilus-Moukurk in the last quarter. He also sits more than 40 times on hand. Its poor numbers are likely to be linked Corruption allegationsBut Manley Nol speaks folders in both cases.
Then there is Abu Ghazala, a 26-year-old journalist and activist who raised most of the three-WV Only one week.
This is largely thanks to it Virus campaign videoThe Democratic Party challenged the “dreaded spine growing”. Echo the message clearly between part of the democratic rule Indelible With the leadership of aging.
The thing is, while Abu Ghazaliyeh spoke a lot about the ninth Illinoi boycott, which did not enjoy competitive elections In decadesAnd according to what is reported by the current deputy, Jean Shakovsky Advertising planning In May, you will not seek another term. So the change comes to the region in both cases. And Abogazial – from Go to Illinois Last year and He does not live yet in the areaIt is technically PermittedHe will surely face competition from other Democrats with more tie for the region.
However, her message is clearly resonated with donors – and they are not alone.
A Search change A poll found that 90 % of Democrats and independents with democratic tendencies prefer a moderate fighter over calm progress, while 95 % amazing will choose a progressive fighter over a quiet moderate. This preference is carried through almost all the population composition.
The message is clear: Democrats only want new blood. They want someone with a pulse.
Promises
Americans are staring at a possible future from the high inflation and definitions of cost, and President Donald Trump has slapped his worst classification ever on the economy, according to what Al -Jadid said. CNBC All-MARICA.
Only 43 % of Americans correspond to his economic performance, while 55 % do not refuse, which puts 12 points underwater on the network.
While Trump can still rely on the support of Republican voters (at the present time), independent voters have shifted sharply against him by reducing the approval of 23 points from his average classification in his first term, according to CNBC. Democrats gave him a clear classification that is punished for the economy.
The economy has long been the highest interest of voters, and 2024 was no exception. He said to most voters in the elections Gallop Trump has documented more than the Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, on the economy, undoubtedly believed that he will reduce inflation and grocery prices. He also promised again and again.
Of course, we have I saw how that was shown.
Since returning to power, Trump has launched an irregular economic storm: Tariff On the main allies, investors are scattered on social media, and You are trying to bully Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reduces interest rates. The result? Confidence in his economic leadership has moved, according to this new data.
And the lack of a recovery. CNBC finds that 49 % of Americans – including 83 % of Democrats and 54 % of independents – will mention that the economy will get worse during the next year, which is the finest reading since 2023, which also tracks with Wide recession warnings.
Even Republicans may lose their confidence in its economic care. The CNBC poll found that many Republican Party voters agree to Trump’s general performance more than its definitions.
Promise a mutation. It offers a bust. I wonder how it will play this year Mid -term elections.
The Americans are concerned about the free press
Each day the Americans worrying possible restrictions on the free press – but their level of anxiety depends largely on any side of the corridor they sit on.
According to a new Pio Research Center Data, 69 % of adults are concerned about potential restrictions on freedom of the press, which is the right stipulated in the first amendment. This includes 43 % of the concerned “very” or “very”.
While the numbers are almost identical to what Pio found in 2024, the partisan division has turned anxiety. In 2024, more Republicans (47 %) of Democrats (38 %) were very concerned or very concerned about potential restrictions on press freedom. But during the Trump era, this mainly turned: 60 % of Democrats are now very concerned or very concerned, compared to only 28 % of Republicans.
Despite former President Joe Biden It was not perfect On freedom of the press, nothing compared to the way Trump went after the media, especially during his second term. Trump is not only their correspondents – he is armed with the federal government against them. It sues CBS News 10 billion dollars The Federal Communications Committee prompted Searched That network and others. A student of this Congress Stripping Almost all federal funding from NPR and PBS generals. Which is Trick Any ports can reach the White House.
He was even aimed at angering the polling organizations, demanding them close If their numbers do not hold it. But what does he expect? he Economy tanks While he has Cabinet is incompetent Tell behind the scenes. Of course, the Americans are not happy with how things go.
It is not surprising that it is the most concerned people about the freedom of the press who care. Pew found that 49 % of Americans closely follow the “Tram” presidency “or” very “interested in restrictions, compared to only 29 % of those less controlled.
There is a silver lining, though. Although – or perhaps because of – TROMP attacks, support for press freedom rises. Pew found that 77 % of Americans now say that the free press is “very” or “very” important to the well -being of society, an increase of 4 points from 2024.
Trump may want in the media only to serve him. But so far, the country does not buy this imagination.
Any updates?
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House Republican Party He wants to cut Hundreds of billions of dollars of medical stamps and food for financing The tax discounts of the wealthy. It is a gift that the superior may love, but voters, not much. Surveying form from Advance data It finds that the support of the MDC is less than 15 % in all provinces of Congress 435.
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Trump’s store may be online Hawking “Trump 2028” capsBut there is a good opportunity for those things that taste in a warehouse abroad because the Americans really, truly You don’t want him to search for a third (unconstitutional). Three quarters of Americans, including 53 % of Republicans, oppose him trying to run again, according to what is new. IPSOS scanning To Reuters.
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Most Republican women (64 %) say that its physical health management is a top priority, but it is also more likely than the ordinary Americans to the health information source than Facebook and Pinterest, according to what is new. Morning consultation reconnaissance. This second part may be the reason that the polling expert finds that the Republican women are more likely than democratic women to believe in suspicious health ideas, just as it is believed that early childhood vaccines are autism: 8 % of democratic women believe that misleading information, but 22 % of republican women.
Chic Vepi
Independent voters are Tension on TrumpEspecially on the policies of customs tariffs, but this does not mean that they are preparing for the Democratic Party. only 15 % From independent registered voters view the Democratic Party positively, while amazing 71 % Looking at it inadequate, according to CIVIQS As of Friday.
More worry, these numbers have worsened since the election day. Although Trump is basically renewed parts of the federal government, independents do not seem convinced that Democrats are the best choice. This may be due to many factors: Non -inspiringand Unseen messagesAnd Non -urgency From some Democrats against Trump.
It is also possible that for many independents, candidate Things are more than party. With the appropriate Apostles – and more spine – Democrats have an opportunity to beat independents.
Andrew Manjan contributed to the research.
Campaign work