According to the exit surveys conducted by the German broadcaster ZDF, the Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Social Union allied with the largest share of votes in the German federal elections on Sunday, for all CNBC.
This puts the party’s main candidate, Fredchich Mirz, in a great position to take over Olaf Schools as a consultant to the largest economy in Europe.
CDU-CSU won 28.5 % of the sounds, followed by the far-right AFD with 20 % and the SCOLZ Democratic Party by 16.5 %, according to the ZDF exit polls.
Market reaction
At the time of this report, EUR/USD is traded by 0.10 % a day at 1.0470.
Common questions euro
The euro is the currency of the 19 European Union countries belonging to the eurozone. It is the second most traded currency in the world behind the US dollar. In 2022, it represented 31 % of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily rotation of more than $ 2.2 trillion per day. EUR/USD is the most trading currency pair in the world, which represents an estimated 30 % of all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4 %), EUR/GBP (3 %) and EUR/AUD (2 %).
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the backup bank. The European Central Bank sets interest rates and runs monetary policy. The primary mandate in the European Central Bank is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary performance is to raise or reduce interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or expect higher rates – usually benefit from the euro and vice versa. The Board of Directors of the European Central Bank is making monetary policy decisions at eight times a year. Decisions are made by the heads of national banks in the eurozone and six permanent members, including the President of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde.
The inflation data in the euro area, measured by a coordinated index of consumer prices (HICP), is an important economist for the euro. If inflation increases more than expected, especially if it is 2 % higher than the European Central Bank’s goal, then the European Central Bank is obliged to raise interest rates to return it in control. Relatively high interest rates usually benefit compared to its euro counterparts, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to stop their money.
Data ejaculates a measurement of economics health and can affect the euro. Indicators such as GDP, manufacturing, PMIS, employment services, and consumer morale surveys can affect the trend of uniform currency. The strong economy is useful for the euro. Not only is to attract more foreign investment, but the European Central Bank may encourage interest rates, which will enhance the euro directly. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the euro is likely to decrease. Economic data of the four economies in the eurozone (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are of particular importance, because it represents 75 % of the eurozone economy.
Other important version of the euro is the commercial balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country gains from its exports and what it spends on imports during a certain period. If a country produces very absolute after exports, its currency will obtain a purely value of the additional demand created from foreign buyers who seek to buy these goods. Therefore, the positive net trade balance enhances the currency and vice versa to achieve a negative balance.