Astrologists raced to monitor the asteroid 2024 yr4
NASA/Magdalina Ridge 2.4 m Telescope/New Mexico Institute of Technology/Ryan
The world’s space agencies have reduced the chances of the 2024 YR4 asteroid that affects the Earth to less than 1 percent, indicating that a potential devastating collision will be avoided. However, the asteroid will most likely pass near our planet, giving astronomers a rare opportunity to closely monitor the asteroid.
He says: “We do not expect the possibility of influencing more than 1 percent of the close approach with the Earth in 2032,” he says. Richard Moemel At the European Space Agency (ESA). “Most likely the additional development is an additional decrease in the possibility of influence, most likely up to 0.”
The warnings were raised about the asteroid 2024 YR4 for the first time in December last year, when astronomers found that it might be in a collision of the Earth in 2032. It seems that its width ranges between 40 and 90 meters and can generate a deadly explosion if the city is beaten. In the following weeks, telescopes in the world and space agencies closely tracked their path, hurting their future path with more accurately. It reached the highest risk of influencing on February 17, with a chance of 1 at 32, but in the days after that, this decreased to 1 in 67, or 1.5 percent risk.
On February 20, the new notes led to a sharp reduction in this risk, with NASA by 0.27 percent for influence, 1 at 360, and ESA lower, at 0.16 percent, or 1 in-625. These categories were placed on 1 on a scale Turin consisting of 10 points used to assess the danger posed by such organisms. This result has decreased from 3, and this means that 2024 YR4 is now considered one of many low -risk asteroids that are discovered every year, but in the end the Earth misss.
This is good news, he says Gareth Collins In Impierial College London, the asteroid will remain useful as dry for our planetary defense systems and for scientific purposes. “This is still something that will lead to an amazing close approach.
NASA and ESA companies and spacecrafts that have been drawing the potential asteroid agency will most likely continue planning, he says. Niklas Voigt In OHB, a German space company. Voigt and his team say to think about a task to transfer 2024 years, and the new risks say this. “The risks have decreased, but at the present time, we are still continuing to work on this topic.”
Voigt says: The only previous attempt to do this is the NASA mission, which changed the 180 -meter asteroids in 2022, or that succeeded in changing the 160 -meter asteroid Damasha It has an area of 160 meters in 2022, or that succeeded in changing The 180 -meter asteroids course in 2022, or changed the 160 -meter asteroids course in 2022 or others, and which successfully changed the course of the 180 meters of destruction of the asteroids of the asteroids in 2022. He says, says, Like the satellite in RAMSES from ESA – due to travel to monitor The asteroid Apophis, which was appointed close to Earth in 2029.
A final decision is likely to be made about what to do about 2024 YR4 until the notes planned in March using the James Web telescope. In addition to collecting the path data, this will better assess the size and composition of the asteroid. This information will then be fed to the Consultative Group of the UN -backed space mission, which will decide the best path to work at the end of April. “These are incredibly useful exercises to know the disk points to make decisions, so that you still have time to do something reasonable in advance,” says Collins. “Certainly, these committees will continue to meet, but they are likely to be less tired.”
While the chances of the Earth’s influence decreased, the risk of a 2024 -year -old moon increased to 1.2 percent, up from 0.3 percent. “There is a clear possibility of this number increases.” “The accurate effects of the impact on the moon are still in the evaluation.”
Collins says that the response to this object was also a useful rehearsal of other asteroids that cause anxiety that appears. “We want to avoid, in the future, to put the wolf crying, as the audience gets used to this threat so that they think,” Oh, it never happens. “
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